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Showing posts from January, 2026

Skepticisms on Takaichi’s Public Finances

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi insists that she would promote “responsible and proactive public finances” as the policy for the Lower House election with highest priority. However, it is unclear what “responsible” and “proactive” mean. Although she stresses necessity for strategic investment, markets respond to her economic policies with skepticisms about the future financial balance of the government of Japan.   The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) raises “strong economy” at the first policy for its election campaign, prior to local revitalization, diplomacy and security policy, social security and constitutional amendment. Takaichi’s portraits with her smile are featured between the pages of  campaign flyer , indicating that the party is heavily dependent on her popularity among the people.   The platform defines responsible and proactive public finances as creating positive cycle of investment and growth through emboldened investment, powerful economic growth and increase...

Estimations of Majority by LDP

Newspapers revealed their early estimation of campaign for the Lower House election on February 8 th . All of three researches by  Mainichi ,  Yomiuri  and  Nikkei  predicted that the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) would be reaching a simple majority by itself, catching a wind for Sanae Takaichi Cabinet. The Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA) has not seen a positive consequence of integration by Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) and Komeito.   Those researches were based on their own survey for 289 single-seat districts and 176 seats in proportional districts. Voters will vote for an individual candidate in each of their local district and for a party which had offered its own slate of candidates. Seats in proportional district will be distributed to parties based on the votes they obtained in ten blocks in the election.   Mainichi Shimbun   reported  that the LDP may increase its seat, currently 196, to the close level of a simple ...

Sanseito Advances in Election of Fukui

A 35-year-old young former diplomat, Takato Ishida,   won   gubernatorial election in Fukui prefecture on January 25 th . The significance of his victory is that he was supported by young populist party, Sanseito, which is holding ultra-conservative policies. Sanseito recognizes Ishida’s winning as good news for its advance in the election of the House of Representatives, in which the party hopes to increase its seats. Former governor of Fukui, Tatsuji Sugimoto, took office in 2019 and reelected in 2023. In October 2025, Fukui prefectural government announced that it received reports from some staffs in the government office which indicated consecutive sexual harassment by Sugimoto of sending sexually inappropriate messages to female staffs. Sugimoto admitted it and apologized to them, and announced his resignation. He stepped down in December. The election in January was to fill the seat of him.   Former mayor of Echizen city and vice-governor of Fukui prefecture, Ken-ic...

Lower House Election Campaign Starts

General election of the House of Representative to fill 465 vacant seats, created by dissolution decided by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, was officially announced on January 27 th . 1285 candidates with 11 parties or independent filed their candidacy to election office of the national government and embarked on their campaign. The election day is set on February 8 th . Takaichi, the president of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), explained that the election would be about choosing her or someone else for the leader of Japan. Building strong and prosperous Japan is her main appeal to the voters. “Our policy has changed from the previous administration. The core policy is ‘responsible and proactive public finances,’” said Takaichi in her campaign speech.   The opposition parties accuse Takaichi of having a snap election to galvanize her own regime. The leader of Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), a new party established with merge of Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan and Komeito, Y...

Policy Debate by Party Leaders

Leaders of major parties appeared in   the debate   sponsored by Japan National Press Club and exchanged their views on coming general election of the House of Representatives on February 8 th . The debate indicated that the election campaign would be focused on consumption tax cut, framework of leading coalition and measures for increasing foreigners in Japan.   Before Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi decided a snap election earlier this month, the opposition parties have been demanding partial or complete cut of consumption tax to support consumers. Taking those arguments as political pressure for her administration, Takaichi announced that she would consider two-year moratorium of the tax for food, to contend the idea of halving tax rate or permanent elimination for food by the oppositions.   In the debate, Takaichi revealed the timeline for introducing new tax policy she hoped. If a multi-partisan conference on this issue, which she hopes to launch after the electio...

Polls Show Takaichi’s Declining Popularity

For the first time since the inauguration in October 2025, approval rate for Sanae Takaichi Cabinet showed apparent decline in the polls conducted by news organizations just before entering election campaign of the Lower House. Main reason of this steep down is skepticism on Takaichi’s decision to have a snap election before FY2026 budget bill passes the Diet. While Takaichi embraces fundamental concern for election campaign, the new opposition party, Centrist Reform Alliance, has not achieved significant approval from voters. In the  poll  of  Mainichi Shimbun  conducted on January 24 th  and 25 th , approval rate for Takaichi Cabinet declined by 10 percent from previous poll last month to 57 percent. Disapproval rate rose by 7 percent to 29 percent. The rate significantly dropped among elder people. The respondents who approved decision of dissolving the House of Representatives were 27 percent, overwhelmed by those who did not approve with 41 percent.   ...

TEPCO Reactor Goes and Stops

Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)   announced   on January 22 nd   that it stopped reactor #6 of Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant. Although the reactor resumed its operation a day before for the first time in these 14 years, it lasted only 6 hours. It is unclear when it will restart. Fundamental skepticism is cast on TEPCO as an operator of nuclear power plant, as it repeats mismanagements in its effort to resume the reactors.   Failing in taking necessary measures to prevent a disaster with earthquake, TEPCO is the perpetrator in severe accident of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant in 2011. It applied to examination for resumption of reactors #6 and #7 in Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant, which is one of the biggest nuclear power plants in the world with 8.21 million kilowatts of output, in 2013 to clear stricter regulations laid out considering catastrophe of Fukushima in 2011.   However, TEPCO’s plan to restart reactors in Kashiwazaki-Kariwa has been rej...

House of Representatives Dissolved

The House of Representatives was dissolved on January 23 rd . One of two chambers of the Diet became empty. A general election for fulfilling 465 seats will officially be announced on January 27 th   and voted on February 8 th . Caused by sudden decision of dissolution by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the election will ask the voters a choice between conservative leading coalition and moderate centrist opposition. Most parties uphold measures, including consumption tax cut, for supporting households that are suffering from price inflation.   On the first day of ordinary session of the Diet on January 23, the Speaker of Lower House, Fukushiro Nukaga,  read out  a decree from the Emperor. “Due to Article 7 of the Constitution of Japan, I dissolve the House of Representatives,” it said. Article 7  provides  that the Emperor dissolves the House of Representatives “with advice and approval of the Cabinet.” The Cabinet is led by Takaichi who has power to replace...

MOJ Still Reluctant to Retrial

A working team in Legislative Council of Ministry of Justice (MOJ), an advisory body for Minister of Justice, submitted   a draft  for revision of retrial system. Although difficulty of starting retrial has been criticized as generating false accusations, the draft effectively preserves public prosecutors’ power to dispute decision of court for retrial. Lawyers are opposing the idea, arguing that would cause delay of procedure for retrial. Even a defendant whose guiltiness was confirmed by the courts can request a retrial with some new evidences which have not been discussed. When the court approves rightness of the request submitted by the side of defendant, retrial starts. It has often been the case that new evidence disclosed by law enforcement organization becomes a clear evidence with which the court needed to sentence innocence.   The working team proposed a new rule that the court has to order the public prosecutors to disclose related evidence. However, the rule i...

Life in Prison to Assassin of Abe

Nara District Court on January20th   sentenced   life in prison to the defendant, Tetsuya Yamagami, in the case of murdering former prime minister Shinzo Abe on July 8 th , 2022. Recognizing a hard situation of the Yamagami’s family suffering from his mother’s fanatic devotion to Family Federation for World Peace and Unification (FFWPU), or former Unification Church, the court found the murder to be extremely wrong. Oddly enough, the court did not consider the relationship between Abe and FFWPU, which must have been the main reason why Yamagami targeted Abe.   Yamagami shot Abe to death during Abe’s campaign rally in Nara city. The court found that the defendant had been indifferent to someone’s life and decided the assault with his own motivation, considering the environment of the crime that was surrounded by the audience. “In the process of decision for murder, it was not found that unhappiness of the defendant strongly affected,” said the court.   It was revealed...

CRA Publishes Policy Platform

The Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), which consists of lawmakers from Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) and Komeito, published their   policy platform  for coming election brought by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decision to dissolve the House. The platform includes approval of 2015 security legislations under former Shinzo Abe administration and resumption of nuclear power plant in Japan. For the lawmakers with CDPJ, it marked a significant change of basic policies and demanded compromise to promote integration of opposition powers. The platform is titled “Redesigning shape of society for better future, putting their slogan of “consumers first.” “We put constitutionalism on basis of our politics. We prevent abuse of political power and enhance stability and vitality of society, including local community, with respect for various values and ways of life through concept of coexistence and mutual support,” says the platform. It focuses on dialogue and inclusivenes...

Takaichi Announces Dissolution of Lower House and a Snap Election

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced on January 19 th   that she would dissolve the House of Representatives on January 23 rd , the first day of 2026 ordinary session of the Diet. The election to fulfill vacancy of the House will be officially announced on January 27 th   and voted on February 8 th . Takaichi set a line for victory at a simple majority – 233 seats out of all 465 in the Lower House -- by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner, Japan Innovation Party (JIP). In her  press conference , Takaichi explained the reason why she decided a snap election in this month. “My cabinet grapples with totally new economic and fiscal policies and important issues that construct a basis of our nation. I ask the people an endorsement for me and new coalition with JIP,” said Takaichi. Although it is always true for any prime minister, she would bet her premiership on winning in the coming election of the Lower House.   A prime minister does not nee...

Double Entry for Kick-backed Lawmakers

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is going to   approve  “double nomination” of candidates, who were involved in the kickback scandal of political funds, in next general election of the House of Representatives. The scandal shook the party these years, causing significant losses of seats in recent elections. The president of LDP, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is going to reinstate those lawmakers with scandal, assuming that voters no longer insist on past money scandal of the LDP.   The scandal was revealed in November 2023, when major news organization followed a report of Shimbun Akahata, the newspaper of Japan Communist party, in 2022. A large number of LDP lawmakers received fund from factions they had been affiliated, according to their sales of tickets for fundraising party. The lawmakers involved in the scandal were mainly with former factions led by Shinzo Abe or Toshihiro Nikai.   The LDP  found  that 85 lawmakers had failed in legally reporting t...

Consumption Tax Cut for Campaign Agenda

Consumption tax cut appears to be one of the important talking points in coming election of the House of Representatives, which is expected to be called by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. New party by opposition powers, Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), is going to   include  consumption tax cut for foods in their campaign platform. Takaichi also considers to embrace that policy for the election, receiving request from Japan Innovation Party (JIP). However, consumption tax cut has negative aspect on her government.   Consumption tax cut was  one of the main issues  for 2024 Upper House election. As some opposition parties demanded total abolition of the tax, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) and JIP argued that the tax rate should be 0 percent for foods. The Democratic Party for the People (DPP) proposed halving the tax rate from 10 percent to 5 percent. As the leading parties at the time, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito did not hav...

Elections in Osaka for Justification of Policy Change

The leader of Japan Innovation Party (JIP) and Governor of Osaka Prefecture, Hirofumi Yoshimura,   announced  that he would step down as governor and run for the election to fulfill his vacancy. The Mayor of Osaka City and sub-leader of JIP, Hideyuki Yokoyama, also resign as mayor with same reason of Yoahimura. They believe that they can push a controversial policy which JIP has been insisting for years. The name of policy is Osaka Capital Initiative. The by-election will be held on the same day as general election of the House of Representatives in the Diet, called by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.   Yoshimura revealed his plan for reelection in a meeting of JIP’s local body, Osaka Innovation Party, on January 15th. “For growth and future of Osaka, let me try it with campaign promise of Back-up Capital Initiative or Osama Capital Initiative,” said Yoshimura in the meeting. Yoshimura and Yokoyama submitted resignation to their governments on January 16th.   Osaka pre...

CDPJ and Komeito Establish New Party

The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) and Komeito agreed on January 15 th  that they would establish a new party by merging with each other. New party will be for the members of House of Representatives, and the members of both parties will leave current party and transfer to the new party. Both parties have chosen a traditional option for opposition parties to survive a crisis of existence, receiving pressure from the leading parties and low popularity.   “It is a good opportunity for the centrists to take its position at the center of politics,”  said  the leader of CDPJ, Yoshihiko Noda, after a meeting with Chief Representative of Komeito, Tetsuo Saito. “It is important for the centrists to get together for keeping Japan as a pacifist nation,” said Saito.   The greatest reason of establishing a new party is to counter right-leaning administration led by Prime Minister Sanae Taiachi and its coalition partner, Japan Innovation Party (JIP). As CDPJ...

Takaichi Intends to Call a Snap Election

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi   told   the leaders of leading parties that she would dissolve the House of Representatives early in 2026 ordinary session of the Diet scheduled to be convoked on January 23 rd . A general election to select new members of the House is supposed to be held on February 8 th . Not only lawmakers of opposition parties but the leading parties are surprised with abrupt decision of Takaichi’s political maneuver. Takaichi had a meeting with Secretary General of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Shun-ichi Suzuki, and the leader of Japan Innovation Party (JIP), Hirofumi Yoshimura, on January 14 th . In the meeting, Takaichi told those party leaders that she would dissolve the Lower House “at early time of the ordinary session.” If Takaichi is reelected the prime minister after the general election, she will need to pass FY2026 budget bill the Diet as early as possible. She is expected to dissolve the House on the first day of the session.   Accordin...

Promoting a Success in Japan-ROK Relations

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi met the President of Republic of Korea, Lee Jae Myung, in Nara city, the hometown of Takaichi on January 13 th . Both leaders agreed on enhancing ties on economic security, reconfirming continuance of “shuttle diplomacy” between them. Takaichi and Lee tried to emphasize that their relationship is quite well, considering the impact of the meeting for international relations and domestic politics.   It became the second opportunity for them to meet as the leaders, following last October when Takaichi visited Seoul to participate in annual summit of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). In the last meeting, Takaichi and Lee reconfirmed shuttle diplomacy, which they had succeeded from their predecessors. Lee’s visit to Nara is implementation of their promise.   Takaichi and Lee  agreed  in Nara on setting up a strategic and mutually beneficial discussion by officials of both government on economic security with detailed discussion over m...