Ishiba Gives Consumption Tax Cut Up

Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reportedly decided not to introduce consumption tax cut in the campaign platform of his Liberal Democratic Party for election of the House of Councillors in July. Although some LDP lawmakers and its coalition partner, Komeito, hoped to appeal consumption tax cut to the voters, Ishiba finally accepted negative views of LDP leaders. Ishiba needs to establish policy package for minimizing negative impact of tariff policy of the United States without consumption tax reduction.

In a meeting with LDP Secretary General, Hiroshi Moriyama, on May 8th, Ishiba agreed on a notion that the party should spare consumption tax cut. Consumption tax is a fiscal resource for social security policies. They shared a recognition that it is hard for them to find an alternative source for social security and that the tax cut is not appropriate as a policy for price inflation.

 

It is estimated that the government will lose several trillion yen of revenue, if consumption tax cut is introduced. It may cause serious fiscal deficit in the time when Japanese society is growingly old and needs stable system to support aged people. If the government issues additional governmental bonds, they will be a great burden for future generations. Ishiba realizes that consumption tax is a highly important revenue for maintaining social security system.

 

Some skepticisms have already been argued. It takes certain time to introduce a tax cut, because it needs discussion in the Diet for revising related laws or for verification whether alternative fiscal resource is appropriate. The retailers, most of whom are mid- or small-size businesses, need to revise current system or introduce new system to meet new tax rate.

 

Ishiba’s decision made the contrast of policies in the election clear. The biggest opposition party, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) has announced late April that it would include consumption tax cut in its campaign platform. The party expects consumption tax rate for foods to eliminate to 0 percent for a year. Although CDPJ has been upholding introduction of tax credits with benefits, as an alternative to consumption tax cut, it regards the campaign policy as a transitional measure toward the ultimate goal.

 

Japan Innovation Party requires 0 percent rate for foods, while Democratic Party for the People argues temporary 5 percent for all goods. Reiwa Shinsengumi and Japan Communist Party demand abolition of consumption tax. It is remarkable that Komeito, the coalition partner of the LDP, still hopes to include consumption tax cut in economic stimulus package which will be delivered before the election.

 

No party except the LDP, however, has shown alternative fiscal resource for consumption tax cut. As the leading party supporting Ishiba administration, the LDP is going to emphasize its responsibility to keep social security system for the people.

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