LDP’s Another Defeat in Shizuoka

Former mayor of Hamamatsu city, Yasutomo Suzuki, won the Shizuoka gubernatorial election voted on Sunday, May 26. With recommendation from the Constitutional Democratic Party and the Democratic Party for the People, Suzuki defeated a former officer of Ministry for Internal Affairs and Communications, Shin-ichi Omura. The result may affect handlings of politics by Prime Minister, Fumio Kishida, who suffers from low popularity caused by poor handlings of the slush fund scandal.

Suzuki made a clear victory with 728,500 votes, with about 70,000 of margin against Omura. It is notable that a candidate with Japan Communist Party obtained over 100,000 votes. The result means the margin must have been wider, if CDP and JCP had held an integrated candidate against LDP candidate.

 

Main issue for the election was about high-speed maglev train line between Tokyo and Nagoya, passing a northern part of Shizuoka prefecture. Former governor, Heita Kawakatsu, firmly opposed the plan of constructing the train line, because of its influence on the environment, including underground water or ecological system. Kawakatsu stepped down after he made an inappropriate speech which might be recognized as discrimination on professions in April. The election was to succeed him.

 

The opinion on the maglev train line did not make a big difference between Suzuki and Omura. Both of them are positive on constructing the train line through Shizuoka part. While Omura appealed overwhelming change of the attitude of Kawakatsu, Suzuki upheld the construction with taking good care of natural resources.

 

Nevertheless, the voters showed firm support on the side of Suzuki. According to the exit poll conducted by Asahi Shimbun, Suzuki obtained 34 percent of votes of the LDP supporters, while he secured 79 percent of CDP votes. Omura got 63 percent votes of LDP supporters and only 16 percent of CDP. It is likely that the voters voted against LDP, by voting for Suzuki, for expressing their frustration on the slush fund scandal and Kishida’s handing for it.

 

Basically, the LDP was reluctant to raise candidate to Shizuoka gubernatorial election, because the party could not expect positive result. However, it was obvious that defying the election would be counted as a defeat anyway. With a little hope for a victory, the LDP decided its recommendation for Omura just a day before the campaign started. Although the LDP leaders did not actively engaged in the election, one of the few leaders who joined Omura’s campaign, Minister for Foreign Affairs, Yoko Kamikawa, made a gaffe inviting doubt on her recognition of gender.

 

As unpopularity of the LDP appeared in the election, adding to all three defeats in the by-elections of the House of Representatives in April, it is further unlikely for Kishida to call an early snap election, which has been speculated as possibly happening at the end of current Diet session in June. An announcement of an Upper House member of CDP, Renho, to run for Tokyo Metropolitan gubernatorial election in July may make another torment for the LDP. No strategy to overcome this hard slog has been delivered from the ailing prime minister.

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