Leading Coalition Reaches Majority in Lower House

Three independent members of the House of Representative announced that they would join the parliamentary group of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) on November 28th. With the participation of those three, the leading coalition of the LDP and Japan Innovation Party (JIP) secured a simple majority in the Lower House, salvaging Sanae Takaichi administration from minority government. However, the leading coalition still in short of majority in the Upper House.

Representatives Tadashi Morishima (Osaka 2nd district), Takeshi Saiki (Hokuriku-Shin-etsu proportional district) and Hiroki Abe (Kyushu proportional district) had a meeting with LDP Secretary General, Shun-ichi Suzuki, and told that they would join LDP group. Suzuki approved their offer. They told that it would be important for the government to implement policies or budget bills with their participation.

 

The Lower House has 465 seats. The LDP had occupied 196 and JIP 34, giving the leading coalition by those two parties 230 seats, which was in short of three seats from a simple majority of 233 in the House. With participation of three members, the coalition reached a simple majority of 233 for the first time since last general election in October 2024, enabling the leading coalition to pass a budget bill or block a non-confidence resolution against Takaichi.

 

Those three lawmakers had once been affiliated to JIP. They left the party after the 2024 Lower House election, frustrated with the leadership of JIP. JIP replaced their party leaders after serious setback in the election. The three members criticized new JIP leaders as being distant from original party principles when Osaka Ishin-no Kai was established in 2010. JIP expelled those three members with accusation of defaming the party and damaging party discipline.

 

In the election for nominating a prime minister on October 4th in current extraordinary session of the Diet, those three lawmakers voted for Takaichi. There was a request of voting for Takaichi to them from LDP leaders including Vice-President Taro Aso. After the election, some LDP leaders urged them to join the group of LDP in the Lower House to construct a majority in the House.

 

Even though the leading coalition achieves a majority in the Lower House, they are still in short by six seats in the Upper House. Although the Lower House has superior power to the Upper House for non-confidence resolution or budget bill, ordinary bills, such as tax cut or possible spy prevention act needs majority in both chambers. It is inevitable for Takaichi to achieve approvals from opposition parties to pass some bills to implement her agenda.

 

JIP embraces a concern that it might be swallowed by the LDP, as it continues to cooperate in policy discussion. Some JIP lawmakers have rivalry against LDP candidate in their own electoral districts. JIP needs to secure their own members not to leave and join the LDP, like the three former members did.

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