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Discounting Compensation in Welfare

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) decided to refund payment of welfare for low-income families, which once was cut along with price deflation between 2013 and 2015. Although the Supreme Court found the cut during that period had been illegal, the ministry still argues that the policy was partly not illegal. The plaintiffs demand full refund.   Following Article 25 of Constitution of Japan, that guarantees everyone “the right to maintain the minimum standards of wholesome and cultured living,” Japan has a welfare system in which subsidy is paid for families with income lower than minimum standards of life. The subsidy is paid for cost of food, appliances, rent, and medical treatment. The  total recipients  of the subsidy are about 2 million people of 1.6 million families.   Some recipients of the welfare filed lawsuits against the government of Japan in 2014 and later that its decision to reduce the subsidy between 2013 and 2015 was illegal. In that period...

Data Fabrication of Nuclear Reactors

Chubu Electric Power (CEP), a power company which supplies electricity to central region of Japan,   announced  that it had been fabricated data for examination to resume nuclear reactors in Hamaoka Nuclear Power Plant. The fabrication was using false data on estimation of maximum seismic motion that would possibly hit the reactors. The authority for regulation on nuclear power generation decided to halt its examination for resumption of reactors in Hamaoka. The president of CEP, Kingo Hayashi, told in a press conference on January 5 th  that the data submitted to Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA) in 2019 was false data, which had been preferrable for resumption of nuclear reactors #3 and #4 in Hamaoka power plant. The method to retrieve the data for maximum quake was different from what CEP explained to NRA for the examination, intensively fabricated by the staffs.   After East Japan Great Earthquake in 2011, which caused a severe accident in Fukushima Daiichi Nucl...

Estimation of Deaths in Earthquake beneath the Capital Declines

A working group of National Disaster Management Council released in December 2025   a report  on possible major earthquake occurring right under the capital area of Japan. It anticipates 18 thousand people will die in fallen buildings or fire, which was reduced from the previous report in 2013. However, a great earthquake in Tokyo still causes a great number of deaths and damages of buildings in the city with highly dense population. The estimation of damages was made with a condition in which an earthquake with 7 th  degree occurs in southern area of metropolitan Tokyo in a winter evening, when wind with 8 kilometers per hour is blowing. This great earthquake kills 6 thousand people under broken houses and buildings and 12 thousand people with fire caused by the quake. Broken houses and buildings amount to 400 thousand, out of which 130 thousand fall with quake and 270 thousand are burnt down. Damage from fire will be greater than that of quake itself.   The number ...

Prime Minister’s New Year Press Conference

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi had a   new year press conference   in Ise city, Mie, after visiting Ise Shrine on January 5 th . She announced that her government would launch a national conference for reform of social security system by the end of January. Since social security reform is one of the crucial policy for Japan Innovation Party (JIP), the coalition partner of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Takaichi focuses on reinforcing the tie with JIP through social security issue.   “To lighten the payment for tax or premium of social insurances for the people with low or middle income, we will increase take-home pay according to their income,” said Takaichi in the press conference. It is likely that the conference will discuss details of the system for refundable tax credit, which Takaichi has been considering before she took office of prime minister.   The JIP has been insisting that lightening burden of worker’s age in payment for social security should be a v...

Opposition Fragmentation

In the time of ailing government without majority in a chamber of the Diet, the opposition parties cannot show a sense of solidarity to present voters alternative choices to the leading coalition. The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) has not exercised its leadership to integrate opposition powers, only to evenmtually lose public support for the party. A structure of one giant surrounded by some fragmented parties does not seem to be changing in 2026. The leader of CDPJ, Yoshihiko Noda, stressed his stance of challenging the leading coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Japan Innovation Party (JIP) in his first  press conference  of the year on January 4 th , right after visiting Ise Shrine.  “ It is an important role for the biggest opposition party to make a difference from Sanae Takaichi administration,” said Noda, criticizing Takaichi’s draft of FY2026 budget bill of its size over 120 trillion yen.   In another press conference in Ise ...

Diplomatic New Year

At the beginning of 2026, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has been involved in diplomatic issues, which were quickly developing. Following air raids of the United States Force on Caracas, the capital of Venezuela, Takaichi issued a comment to promote democracy in Venezuela. In the telephone talk with U.S. President Donald Trump two days before, she was invited to the U.S. in this spring. While she hopes to enhance Japanese economy this year, Takaichi faces a necessity of delicate handlings of diplomacy.   It was the evening of January 3 rd  when the news arrived in Tokyo that U.S. Forces carried out a large scale strike against Venezuela and captured its president Nicolás Maduro and his wife. Takaichi commented in her account on X that she was in charge of the issue sending order to diplomatic sector, having close cooperation with related countries and putting priority on securing safety of life of the Japanese.   “Our country has been paying respect to basic value of freed...

Government Starts Survey On AI

Japan Fair Trade Commission (JFTC)   announced  that it began a survey for search services which use generative artificial intelligence (AI). The survey is based on a concern that some companies on information technology may have been taking advantage of articles of news organizations without permission for the answers to questions from internet users. The commission doubts that some activities may be considered as abuses of dominant position. General Secretariat of JFTC, Hiroo Iwanari, stated that the commission started a survey on news delivery, which would be following up a past survey. JFTC has released  a report  in September 2023, which was based on a recognition that users of internet news site were increasing, while readers of newspapers or magazines were declining. The survey found that Google and Yahoo could be included in “influential organizations” when internet users search news contents. The commission recognized necessity of securing an environment for...

Diplomatic Documents in 1994 Declassified

Ministry for Foreign Affairs   declassified  in December 2025, diplomatic documents in 1994. The documents revealed tense discussion over North Korea, which was developing its nuclear capability, by Japan and the Unite States. Japanese leaders exchanged their views over Taiwan with the leaders of People’s Republic of China. They represent instability of international relations in post-Cold War era. Prime Minister of Japan, Morihiro Hosokawa, made a visit to the U.S. in February1994. According to the reports on declassified documents, Secretary of State for Bill Clinton administration, Warren Christopher, who were in the summit meeting, noticed Hosokawa that Japan needed to consider “contingency’ over North Korea which had a plan for developing nuclear weapon.   It indicated that the U.S was serious about a possibility of North Korea to take unpredictable actions. Christopher warned Hosokawa that North Korea was too rigorous to accept safeguard measures of International At...

Takaichi’s Problems in 2026

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi leads a minority government in one of two chambers of the Diet in 2026. It is a focal point in politics in Japan whether her administration can achieve majority in both houses this year. As bilateral relations with China are getting further worse after she made a comment on Taiwan contingency, Takaichi will face a requirement how she can fix the problem.   Takaichi’s biggest mistake as an elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) last October was letting its coalition partner go. The LDP established a coalition framework with Komeito, with catalysis of the Liberal Party, in 1999 when the party lost majority in the Upper House. Takaichi took the long-time support from Komeito for granted, as she sought a greater coalition with participation of other parties.   Although Takaichi was successful in pulling Japan Innovation Party in the leading coalition, her administration is still unstable with minority in the Upper House. Next election...

Japan’s Turning to Conservative and Populistic Politics in 2025

At the end of 2025, politics in Japan is still in a fundamentally unstable situation with minority government in one of two chambers of the Diet. While the prime minister is struggling in achieving majority in the Upper House, she reveals immaturity in handlings of politics. The government led by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is drifting with pressure from other parties which are serious about implementing their own policies. Former Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba started 2025 with a hung parliament in the Lower House. Ishiba tried to pass FY2025 budget bill by the end of March with detailed policy discussion with some opposition parties. Japan Innovation Party (JIP) voted yes to the budget bill with a trade in which the LDP accepted introduction of free tuition for high schools or reform of social security system.   Although Ishiba survived the ordinary session of the Diet in the first half of 2025, the coalition of the LDP and Komeito lost majority in the Upper House election ...

Multi-seat District System Is Discussed

As reduction of seats in the House of Representatives did not achieve broad support, the parties discuss introduction of multi-seat district in the election of the house. A committee in the house on election reform   discussed  how the parties would be willing to the multi-seat district in the extraordinary session of the Diet. It was obvious that small parties were supportive for the system, while big parties would oppose to it. Post war democracy in Japan was based on multi-seat district system in the Lower House. Each district, allocated to every prefecture according to its population, had multiple seats in the election. For instance, 1 st  district of Hokkaido, which was located to Sapporo and its suburb, had 6 seats. The voters wrote one name among the candidates on the ballot. In the last election of multi-seat district system in 1993, the Liberal Democratic Party and Japan Socialist Party took two seats each in the district, Japan New Party and Komeito respectively...

Government Increases Payment for Medical Services

The government of Japan   decided  to raise payment for medical service by 3.09 percent in FY2026. It is for the first time in these thirty years that growth of the payment exceeds three percent. Given overwhelming price inflation in Japanese economy, Sanae Takaichi government hopes to improve the situation of hospitals most of which are having difficulties in management. To provide comprehensive medical treatment for all the nationals, the government of Japan holds examination for medical doctors, nurses or pharmacists to issue licenses every year. Article 19 of  Medical Practitioner’s Act  provides that a medical doctor cannot refuse a demand of patient for having medical treatment. Meanwhile, the government guarantees payment for those medical workers as reward for providing medical treatment.   With evolution of medical study or advanced technology, medical treatment has rapidly been improved and its cost is mostly unaffordable for the patient. So, about a h...

Delayed Discussion on Imperial Family

The parties in the Diet   did not reach a conclusion  on measures for maintaining the Imperial Families in the extraordinary session in 2025. While opposition parties with liberal ideology are willing to increase female families, the conservative leading parties insist on keeping male line in the family. The polls show that the people are not so serious about maintenance of male line in the Imperial Families. After Jun-ichiro Koizumi administration made a proposal for female emperor in 2005, the discussion stopped with birth of Prince Hisahito of Akishino in 2006. With concern on declining number of the Imperial Family or increasing role of Emperor and his family, the discussion was again revitalized in the Diet. The families were reduced from 25 in 1998 to 16 now.   Fumio Kishida administration wrapped up a report of experts which proposed two options: 1) female families would remain in the family after marriage, and 2) increasing the family by adopting former imperial f...

Draft of FY2026 Budget Bill Approved

Sanae Takaichi Cabinet   approved   FY2026 main budget bill, which marked a record high in volume of 122 trillion yen, with measures supporting consumers suffering from price inflation, in a cabinet meeting on December 26 th . While considering keeping credibility on her bold spendings paying little attention to fiscal balance, Prime Minister Takaichi focused on her own political agenda including accumulation of defense budget.   Takaichi Cabinet will submit the bill to ordinary session of the Diet which will be convoked on January 23 rd . The bill is likely to pass the Diet before the end of March with approval of the leading coalition by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Japan Innovation Party (JIP), which has a simple majority in the Lower House. Even if the Upper House, in which the coalition does not have a majority, reject the bill, it will pass the Diet with support of constitutional provision that gives the Lower House a priority on budget bill.   Total ...

Discussion on Constitutional Amendment Slows Down

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Japan Innovation Party (JIP)  made  no progress in constitutional amendment during the extraordinary session of the Diet in this fall. Although those two parties agreed on accelerate their discussion for changing Article 9, the LDP is reluctant to implement it. JIP is so ambitious to promote their conservative agenda that the LDP became careful about the negative impact on their administration.   The LDP-JIP  agreement  for forming a coalition just before Sanae Takaichi Cabinet embarked on October described that both parties would establish a discussion body for adding “emergency clause,” which enable to extend the term of Diet member in emergency such as great earthquake or military invasion, in the Constitution of Japan during the extraordinary session. The discussion body had some meetings during the session.   The JIP rather focuses on changing Article 9, which is the core of pacifist Japan renouncing war as a meas...

JIP Helps LDP on Regulation of Donation

The Diet could not conclude on regulation for political donation from companies and organizations in the extraordinary session which was closed on December 17 th . While the opposition parties encouraged to promote their bill, the leading coalition of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Japan Innovation Party (JIP) blocked it. JIP changed their stance from advocating stricter regulation on the donation to indifference on this issue after the party formed a coalition with the LDP. Regulation on the donation was the hottest issue in 2024 extraordinary session, after the slush fund scandal of factions in the LDP shook the ruling party. Then prime minister Shigeru Ishiba promised to the opposition party that he would conclude this issue by the end of March, 2025. Nevertheless, the LDP has been reluctant to keep the promise and the issue was passed over from 2025 ordinary session to extraordinary session in the fall.   Five opposition parties, including the Constitutional Democratic Part...

DPP’s Option for Leading Coalition

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Democratic Party for the People (DPP) agreed on raising threshold of imposing income tax from 1.60 million yen of annual income to 1.78 million yen on December 18 th . The agreement paved the way for the DPP to join the leading coalition, which is now formed by the LDP and Japan Innovation Party (JIP). The party, which is currently enjoying the greatest approval rate among opposition parties, is seriously considering the option. The DPP insisted on the threshold of 1.78 million yen as its core policy for election campaigns in 2024 and 2025, in which they promised the voters to increase their take-home pay. Although the DPP reached an agreement with the LDP in December 2024 to get that goal, the LDP failed in achieving it by stopping at 1.60 million yen. When LDP president-elect Sanae Takaichi offered coalition with the DPP in October, the DPP refused it, because of the threshold had not reached the goal.   The LDP’s acceptance of 1.78 mill...

Premier’s Staff Advocates Nuclear Japan

Newspapers simultaneously reported on December 19 th   that an anonymous staff in the prime minister’s office   told  the reporters that Japan should possess nuclear weapons in the future. The person, who was in a position to give advices to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on security policies, revealed a personal view to the reporters in the context of enhancing Japan’s own deterrence. The opposition parties in Japan and some neighbor countries strongly opposed to that idea.   Citing severe security environment around Japan with growing nuclear capability of China, nuclear provocation of Russia and nuclear development of North Korea, the staff argued that Japan needed to discuss possession of nuclear weapons of its own, also referring to credibility of nuclear umbrella of the United States. The staff also indicated that no discussion had actually made in Takaichi administration, and admitted that such discussion would be unrealistic, concerning Japan’s obligation to m...

Annual Tax Reform Is Concluded

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Japan Innovation Party (JIP) agreed on their   tax reform proposal for FY2026 . To attract the Democratic Party for the People (DPP), the leading parties not only raised threshold of income tax from 1.60 million yen of annual income to 1.78 million yen, but abolished automobile tax on purchasing a new car. The decision seems more to be implementing political agenda, than fixing problems in financial system of the government.   Raising threshold of income tax has been requested by the DPP for a year. “Increasing take-home pay” was a main slogan of the DPP in the Upper House election in July. The fact that the LDP had not implemented the promise to raise the threshold was the reason why the DPP did not accept an offer from LDP president Sanae Takaichi to form a coalition in October.   The LDP’s answer to DPP’s request had been that raising the threshold would be unreasonable in terms of reforming tax system. Takaichi dealt with the pro...